Driving transportation to Net Zero in the GCC
Atkins’ Roger Cruickshank, Regional Market Director, Transport, Middle East; Johanna Staples, Regional Director, Strategic Advisory, Middle East and Jonathan Spear, Transport Policy and Strategy Advisor, Middle East discuss how Net Zero can be achieved in the GCC’s thriving transportation sector
During the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP27), the transport sector reiterated its commitment to reducing carbon emissions to Net Zero by 2050, in line with the Paris Agreement. Achieving this will depend on efficient multi-modal transport systems and associated services that are essential to ensure sustainable mobility of people and goods.
GCC countries, in particular Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar have invested heavily in their transport networks in the past decade, but there can be no denying that for internal travel, all countries are still heavily reliant on fossil fuel-based car ownership and use, as well as road-based freight. Among other reasons, this is due to the rapid growth of cities and communities that have been designed around the car.
To help the region achieve its Net Zero targets, the SNC-Lavalin Group, including Atkins and Faithful+Gould, have published the ‘Engineering Net Zero in the GCC’ report that highlights challenges, opportunities, and recommendations to decarbonize the built environment, energy, and transport sectors.
Dubai’s metro opened in 2009, Doha’s in 2019 and Riyadh’s will begin operating shortly. In addition, buses have seen improvements in scale and quality in recent years and may become more important for short distance journeys, supported by walking, cycling and micromobility.
In terms of rail, Saudi Arabia has the most extensive rail network in the GCC, offering freight and passenger services across three lines. The longest at 2,800km is the Northern Train Network, running from Riyadh to Jordan. Within the UAE, the Etihad Rail element of the GCC network will stretch across 1,200km and run to the borders of Saudi Arabia and Oman. Once construction has been completed, the GCC Rail Network will connect major cities across all six GCC countries and taking a large number of heavy goods vehicles off the roads.
More public transport is needed to meet decarbonisation plans within the various Net Zero national strategies. Significant investment is required to extend current lines, routes and interconnections that allow for longer journeys and residential communities need to be better served if car use and ownership is to be reduced.
First and last mile connectivity must also be improved to make it easier to access the public transport network. Plans for national passenger and freight rail need to be extended, whether conventional, high-speed or new technologies such as Hyperloop or Maglev; as long as they are electrified, and that power comes from clean energy sources.
Electric and hydrogen vehicles
Many GCC communities have developed or expanded around road infrastructure. Getting people to shift en-masse to public transport would be a significant task that is unlikely to be appropriate within the region, at least in the short term. If people will not abandon their cars, then the region needs a policy of electrification, be that Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) or hydrogen Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs).
Electric Vehicles (EVs) use is increasing. In May 2021, 3,100 EVs and 9,300 hybrid cars were registered in Dubai alone and the UAE wants 42,000 EVs on its roads by 2030. Dubai’s commitment to electric cars has gained momentum through the recent opening of a EV manufacturing facility in Dubai Industrial City with manufacturing capacity of 10,000 cars annually and the government agencies having converted 20% of automobile fleet to EVs. 3% of car sales in Saudi Arabia were for hybrid and EVs in 2020, and the government has stated that by 2030, 30% of cars in Riyadh will be electric.
However, adoption of EVs alone will not decarbonise the region’s transport infrastructure. They take the same space as petrol and diesel cars and must be able to cope with the region’s high summer temperatures when car users are reliant on battery-draining air conditioning to cool their vehicles. To meaningfully decarbonise transport, charging points must be expanded and powered by renewable energy sources. This again, proves the critical link between energy and transportation.
Around the Gulf, airports are being built, expanded or upgraded to attract more passengers or freight business. Dubai remains the busiest international airport in the world, having successfully built a world-leading aviation hub and air fleet in the past decade.
In 2019, it had more than 85m passengers through the airport and handled around 2.5m tonnes of freight. These major aviation hubs add pressure to government Net Zero strategies, as aviation levels return to pre-pandemic levels. For instance, Dubai’s 2021 passenger numbers were 29m, although freight was in line with previous years, at 2.3m tonnes. For 2022, Dubai estimates it will have 55m people travel through its airport.
Due to the complexity of the aviation sector, it will likely decarbonise later than other transport modes. Regulatory and policy frameworks at global and regional levels need to be established to drive the development of sustainable aviation fuels (including hydrogen), and this will require collaboration across the whole sector.
Key to minimising the carbon footprint for airports is to focus firstly on greater energy efficiency within buildings, followed by usage of low carbon/Net Zero energy. Through smart building technologies, airport operators can manage demand and optimise technical infrastructure to drive savings in energy usage. Decarbonising airport vehicle fleets, as well as making staff commuting and passenger access trips more sustainable, are other areas to be tackled.
In conclusion, changing long-held behavior towards land-based mobility will be challenging, and require a combination of awareness and policies. An appropriate future approach that can be taken is that of Avoid, Shift and Improve, which offers a useful way forward for key public agencies and private sector stakeholders to integrate planning and action across the value chain.
The first two options focus on behavioral change – getting people to think differently about how they travel or access transport services. A broader perspective is required that ensures the long-term planning of a functional, integrated transport strategy, including balancing supply-based approaches with the management of demand, as well as user attitudes and behavior.
- SNC-Lavalin launches ‘Engineering Net Zero in the GCC’ report to help region achieve its net zero carbon targets
- The race to Net Zero in the GCC
- Surpassing Net Zero on the table for Sharjah Sustainable City
- “This report tells us in cold scientific terms what nature has been telling us, all year: we have to stop filling our atmosphere with GHGs”